Overview
Sunday 19 July, 2026 · NSE/BSE Session Active
Signal Feed
Latest high-density events · Semantic Density Score
RBI raises Repo Rate by 25bps to 6.75%; flags sticky core inflation at 5.4%
INGESTTata Steel Q1 PAT drops 28% YoY to ₹960 Cr; cuts FY25 volume guidance on Chinese dumping
INGESTBrent Crude breaches $89/barrel; OPEC+ confirms 3-month supply cut extension
INGESTSensex falls 350 points amid global cues; IT stocks weak
DISCARDZomato Board approves ₹2,500 Cr QIP at ₹185/share; CEO had said 'no dilution' in Q1 call
INGESTSEBI tightens F&O margin norms; ELM raised to 5% on index derivatives effective Oct 1
INGESTMacro Snapshot
Key indicators · As of 11:30 AM
Rising crude + hawkish RBI signals risk-off. High-beta midcaps most exposed.
Thesis Watcher
Portfolio thesis health
→ Crude at $89 → key input VAM cost rising. Management cut margin guidance to 18-19% from 20-21%. Thesis pillar 1 weakening.
→ RBI +25bps directly aligns with thesis. Management guided NIM expansion of 15-20bps. Thesis intact.
→ Board approved ₹2,500 Cr QIP directly contradicting CEO's 'no dilution' statement in Q1 call. Credibility discount flagged. EPS dilution ~3.5%.
→ Q1 PAT -28% on Chinese steel dumping. Volume guidance cut. China reflation thesis not playing out. UK losses continue.
→ $220M TCV deal win confirms large deal pipeline thesis. No adverse events. FY25 guidance maintained.
→ Crude at $89 increases petrol prices → demand softness in entry-level. RBI rate hike adds EMI pressure. Monitor FY25 volume guidance.
→ Price hike of 4% partially offsets palm oil headwind. Volume resilience shows brand strength. Thesis holding on balance.
→ RBI rate hike raises cost of funds. NIM compression risk if rate stays elevated. ALM mismatch could widen. Monitor Q2 NIM.
Active Propagation Chains
3rd-degree causal shockwaves